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Risk

Highly Violent Internal Conflict probability

[%] · lower is better · 191 countries

INFORM (European Commission JRC and partners) (CC BY 4.0)CC BY 4.0updated 2026
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Related rankingsHA.HUM.CON.GCRIHuman hazard & exposureHazard & exposureINFORM risk scoreConflict GPIConflict GPIVulnerabilityHazardNuclear weapons statusInternally displaced people due to conflictNumber of reported natural disasters with a small impactNumber of reported natural disasters with a small impact

League table

191 shown
  1. 1Grenada0
  2. 1Antigua and Barbuda0
  3. 1Dominica0
  4. 1Micronesia, Fed. Sts.0
  5. 1Kiribati0
  6. 1St. Kitts and Nevis0
  7. 1St. Lucia0
  8. 1Liechtenstein0
  9. 1Marshall Islands0
  10. 1Naoero0
  11. 1Palau0
  12. 1Sao Tome and Principe0
  13. 1Seychelles0
  14. 1Tonga0
  15. 1Tuvalu0
  16. 1St. Vincent and the Grenadines0
  17. 1Vanuatu0
  18. 1Samoa0
  19. 2Iceland0
  20. 3Slovenia0
  21. 4Malta0
  22. 5Cyprus0
  23. 6New Zealand0
  24. 7Finland0
  25. 8Denmark0
  26. 9Sweden0
  27. 10Norway0
  28. 11Estonia0
  29. 12Switzerland0
  30. 13Croatia0
  31. 14Luxembourg0
  32. 15Latvia0.01
  33. 16Ireland0.01
  34. 17Austria0.01
  35. 18Lithuania0.01
  36. 19Czechia0.01
  37. 20Portugal0.01
  38. 21Greece0.01
  39. 22Hungary0.01
  40. 23Australia0.01
  41. 24Slovak Republic0.01
  42. 25Netherlands0.01
  43. 26Bulgaria0.01
  44. 27Poland0.01
  45. 28Canada0.01
  46. 29Spain0.01
  47. 30Belgium0.01
  48. 31Romania0.01
  49. 32Italy0.01
  50. 33United Kingdom0.01
  51. 34North Macedonia0.02
  52. 35Germany0.02
  53. 36Montenegro0.03
  54. 37United States0.03
  55. 38Japan0.03
  56. 39Comoros0.04
  57. 40Maldives0.04
  58. 41Oman0.05
  59. 42Bosnia and Herzegovina0.05
  60. 43Cabo Verde0.06
  61. 44Panama0.06
  62. 45Serbia0.06
  63. 46Fiji0.07
  64. 47Korea, Dem. People's Rep.0.07
  65. 48Mauritius0.07
  66. 49Brunei Darussalam0.07
  67. 50Solomon Islands0.07
  68. 51Bhutan0.08
  69. 52Equatorial Guinea0.08
  70. 53Singapore0.08
  71. 54Korea, Rep.0.09
  72. 55Albania0.09
  73. 56Timor-Leste0.09
  74. 57Uruguay0.09
  75. 58Lesotho0.09
  76. 59Kuwait0.09
  77. 60Gabon0.1
  78. 61France0.1
  79. 62Turkmenistan0.1
  80. 63Mongolia0.1
  81. 64Bahamas, The0.11
  82. 65Botswana0.11
  83. 66Bahrain0.11
  84. 67Kazakhstan0.12
  85. 68Suriname0.12
  86. 69Cuba0.12
  87. 70Guyana0.12
  88. 71Belarus0.15
  89. 72Guinea-Bissau0.15
  90. 73Chile0.16
  91. 74Viet Nam0.17
  92. 75Lao PDR0.19
  93. 76Namibia0.22
  94. 77Nicaragua0.23
  95. 78Georgia0.29
  96. 79Eritrea0.29
  97. 80Qatar0.29
  98. 81Moldova0.3
  99. 82China0.32
  100. 83Barbados0.33
  101. 84Paraguay0.33
  102. 85Sri Lanka0.36
  103. 86Malaysia0.36
  104. 87Tunisia0.37
  105. 88Gambia, The0.37
  106. 89Nepal0.39
  107. 90Zimbabwe0.43
  108. 91Mauritania0.43
  109. 92Sierra Leone0.44
  110. 93Liberia0.44
  111. 94Trinidad and Tobago0.44
  112. 95El Salvador0.45
  113. 96Jamaica0.45
  114. 97Belize0.47
  115. 98Armenia0.47
  116. 99Madagascar0.47
  117. 100United Arab Emirates0.48
  118. 101Kyrgyz Republic0.48
  119. 102Senegal0.49
  120. 103Bolivia0.49
  121. 104Malawi0.51
  122. 105Cote d'Ivoire0.53
  123. 106Dominican Republic0.56
  124. 107Togo0.56
  125. 108Djibouti0.57
  126. 109Zambia0.57
  127. 110Costa Rica0.57
  128. 111Uzbekistan0.59
  129. 112Guinea0.59
  130. 113Jordan0.61
  131. 114Tajikistan0.66
  132. 115Congo, Rep.0.66
  133. 116Cambodia0.66
  134. 117Honduras0.67
  135. 118Lebanon0.67
  136. 119Argentina0.67
  137. 120Morocco0.68
  138. 121Benin0.7
  139. 122Eswatini0.7
  140. 123Rwanda0.7
  141. 124Ghana0.71
  142. 125Saudi Arabia0.72
  143. 126Haiti0.76
  144. 127Guatemala0.78
  145. 128Libya0.78
  146. 129Papua New Guinea0.78
  147. 130Azerbaijan0.79
  148. 131Tanzania0.79
  149. 132Ecuador0.86
  150. 133Peru0.87
  151. 134Algeria0.88
  152. 135Venezuela, RB0.88
  153. 136Egypt, Arab Rep.0.89
  154. 137Turkiye0.89
  155. 138Central African Republic0.9
  156. 139Ukraine0.9
  157. 140Burkina Faso0.9
  158. 141South Africa0.9
  159. 142Burundi0.9
  160. 143Philippines0.91
  161. 144West Bank and Gaza0.91
  162. 145Somalia, Fed. Rep.0.91
  163. 146Uganda0.91
  164. 147Mali0.91
  165. 148Indonesia0.92
  166. 149Israel0.92
  167. 150Brazil0.93
  168. 151Ethiopia0.94
  169. 152Russian Federation0.94
  170. 153Thailand0.94
  171. 154Angola0.94
  172. 155Bangladesh0.94
  173. 156Sudan0.95
  174. 157Cameroon0.95
  175. 158Chad0.95
  176. 159Colombia0.95
  177. 160Niger0.95
  178. 161Afghanistan0.96
  179. 162Mexico0.96
  180. 163Syrian Arab Republic0.96
  181. 164Myanmar0.96
  182. 165South Sudan0.96
  183. 166Yemen, Rep.0.97
  184. 167Kenya0.97
  185. 168India0.97
  186. 169Congo, Dem. Rep.0.97
  187. 170Mozambique0.97
  188. 171Nigeria0.97
  189. 172Iraq0.98
  190. 173Iran, Islamic Rep.0.98
  191. 174Pakistan1

Highly Violent Internal Conflict probability